Friday, January 29, 2010
AAPL Closed Trade...
I closed my vertical spread on AAPL with a profit of $199+change. I think I was lucky to call this trade so perfectly.
Wednesday, January 27, 2010
AAPL Topped...
AAPL has been hitting record highs in previous weeks, however yesterday price action for the stock was bearish. For instance the peak never reached the resistance of $215. Instead the price went back down to end just below $206.
The chart marked in green are the two occasions where price reached the resistance $215. Yesterday's price was a sign that prices would go lower because it was a lower high. Although Apple will probably announce their latest and greatest product today, the peak in the prices have topped. If we close below $198 in the week to follow then further weaknesses are in store. Presently I sold a vertical call spread in the stock and do not expect stock price to reach $220 by February expiration.
Anything is still possible, but odds are in my favor that prices remain below $220 mainly because of the strong $215 resistance. Even yesterday's significantly higher volume was unable to crack the price level.
The chart marked in green are the two occasions where price reached the resistance $215. Yesterday's price was a sign that prices would go lower because it was a lower high. Although Apple will probably announce their latest and greatest product today, the peak in the prices have topped. If we close below $198 in the week to follow then further weaknesses are in store. Presently I sold a vertical call spread in the stock and do not expect stock price to reach $220 by February expiration.
Anything is still possible, but odds are in my favor that prices remain below $220 mainly because of the strong $215 resistance. Even yesterday's significantly higher volume was unable to crack the price level.
Monday, January 25, 2010
BIDU picking the top
Its been a week since BIDU's crash back to near 400s. The initial drop in BIDU began three days after the gap up. There was an immediate gap down on day four and I scalp the trade for a small gain. (A very similar trend happened in AAPL, it was day four after its initial gap up did the stock go up. I find it very interesting.)
I was unable to capitalize on such simple move down on the stock because most of my capital was settled in, Goldman Sachs, GS options. I was on the wrong side of the GS trade and got whack pretty hard. I had 175 Feb10 calls at 5.10 and sold them for about 1.95. I also purchased call vertical spreads that total my lost to nearly $5,000.
I held the GS's calls until they reported their 4th quarter '09 earnings, and as trend was a tall tale sign, the stock dropped like a rock that day. (JPM and INTC both had positive earning reports for the 4th quarter, but their stocks dropped after the announcing their respective reports.) I closed all the calls I had on GS and turned bearish immediately.
My emotions took the best of me in the GS trade. I broke many rules that I tried to enforce. First was to control my lost, which I was unable to do because the day GS open to trade right after earnings the stock price fell within minutes. My asking prices had to be changed every few seconds but I was unable to catch any bids. Out of desperation to get out of the trade I went with market order. I should had set a trail stop on the trade to control my loses. This trade was just dread awful. Still I cannot dwell on the mistake, instead I must repeat to myself to learn from this and move on.
Another reason why I know it was a bad trade was because the day I purchased the GS calls I wanted to recoup loses I had in my GLD strangle spread. Arrogance got the best of me because my calls never got a positive gain after the day I purchased them. After my consecutive loses in YGE and GLD I should have walked away from trading for the week or at least control my amount of capital to trade so that I would not again, yes again, fall off a cliff. (Metaphorically speaking of my capital.) Foolish me.
Furthermore not only did I lose capital in hold the GS options I lost the opportunity to gain some impressive capital if I could have shorted BIDU. One mistake automatically leads to another. A chain of events that clearly were all hurting me.
There is a bright spot to this. I was able to flip bearish right as I left my GS options and used whatever capital I had to shorting the market and have recoup almost 2/3 of all my loses in the GS options. I also felt comfortable with my shorts when I executed them, which I did not have as much as when I purchased the GS options. I should take note of my comfort levels in certain trades. Until next time, G.L.T.A. in trading.
I was unable to capitalize on such simple move down on the stock because most of my capital was settled in, Goldman Sachs, GS options. I was on the wrong side of the GS trade and got whack pretty hard. I had 175 Feb10 calls at 5.10 and sold them for about 1.95. I also purchased call vertical spreads that total my lost to nearly $5,000.
I held the GS's calls until they reported their 4th quarter '09 earnings, and as trend was a tall tale sign, the stock dropped like a rock that day. (JPM and INTC both had positive earning reports for the 4th quarter, but their stocks dropped after the announcing their respective reports.) I closed all the calls I had on GS and turned bearish immediately.
My emotions took the best of me in the GS trade. I broke many rules that I tried to enforce. First was to control my lost, which I was unable to do because the day GS open to trade right after earnings the stock price fell within minutes. My asking prices had to be changed every few seconds but I was unable to catch any bids. Out of desperation to get out of the trade I went with market order. I should had set a trail stop on the trade to control my loses. This trade was just dread awful. Still I cannot dwell on the mistake, instead I must repeat to myself to learn from this and move on.
Another reason why I know it was a bad trade was because the day I purchased the GS calls I wanted to recoup loses I had in my GLD strangle spread. Arrogance got the best of me because my calls never got a positive gain after the day I purchased them. After my consecutive loses in YGE and GLD I should have walked away from trading for the week or at least control my amount of capital to trade so that I would not again, yes again, fall off a cliff. (Metaphorically speaking of my capital.) Foolish me.
Furthermore not only did I lose capital in hold the GS options I lost the opportunity to gain some impressive capital if I could have shorted BIDU. One mistake automatically leads to another. A chain of events that clearly were all hurting me.
There is a bright spot to this. I was able to flip bearish right as I left my GS options and used whatever capital I had to shorting the market and have recoup almost 2/3 of all my loses in the GS options. I also felt comfortable with my shorts when I executed them, which I did not have as much as when I purchased the GS options. I should take note of my comfort levels in certain trades. Until next time, G.L.T.A. in trading.
Thursday, January 14, 2010
Picking a Top
Today I post a few charts on a trade I am prepared to put a position on. To short the stock BIDU.
Before I just go short the stock I went and did some research. I wanted to avoid as much technical analysis jargon as possible and apply a simple chart pattern. The pattern I am looking for is a daily upward gap followed by a second up day. There were two stocks that had similar upward gaps on a intraday chart that I have followed for quite some time. The charts are AAPL, Apple and AMZN, Amazon.
The day AMZN gaped up was the day they posted earnings. The following day the stock manage to gain even more. Considering the first day gap was a new high for the stock I am betting that the second day rally was due partly by shorts covering. Although there was a sense of optimism in AMZN for blowing out expectations so there were also significant buyers. The days after the stock consolidated AMZN still dropped about $5 in the consolidation. A good time to short the stock was on the third day after the gap day.
In AAPL on October 19, 2009 the stock spiked at the open. It ended the day closing lower but the following day it again increased at the open. The stock ended on the second day at pike high. The third day the stock was neutral and then declined on the fourth day. The decline was pretty dramatic, over $10 drop in a week. Again it looks like a lot of shorts getting squeeze on the second day after the upward gap. What is interesting to note is that Oct. 19 was a Wednesday and option expiration was on the 21st. 21st was actually a neutral day for AAPL, it ended without gaining much.
As I write this post BIDU is at a 52 week high which is dangerous for people who are shorting. The main reason is because when a stock has past its previous highs there are very few traders that can preciously judge how far higher the stock can go. (Trying to pick the top is very difficult.) Furthermore traders who have been shorting the stock at its former high may begin unloading their position to avoid heavy losses. For the past two days a similar pattern has occur in BIDU as in AAPL. The first day BIDU opened with a huge gap on Wednesday of options expiration week. The stock price ended lower than where it gaped at the open. However a continuation upward trend continued on the second day. Presently the stock is up 5%+ at about $463 and change. Over 80 points swing in two days, impressive.
Due to such an impressive run I do not plan to play any Jan10 options. The stock just has to much of a upward momentum. To be safer I am concentrating on deep in the money put options with Feb10 expiration. If chart pattern in BIDU is similar to AAPL than I expect BIDU to consolidate downward in the week to follow. Will check back on this prediction.
Before I just go short the stock I went and did some research. I wanted to avoid as much technical analysis jargon as possible and apply a simple chart pattern. The pattern I am looking for is a daily upward gap followed by a second up day. There were two stocks that had similar upward gaps on a intraday chart that I have followed for quite some time. The charts are AAPL, Apple and AMZN, Amazon.
The day AMZN gaped up was the day they posted earnings. The following day the stock manage to gain even more. Considering the first day gap was a new high for the stock I am betting that the second day rally was due partly by shorts covering. Although there was a sense of optimism in AMZN for blowing out expectations so there were also significant buyers. The days after the stock consolidated AMZN still dropped about $5 in the consolidation. A good time to short the stock was on the third day after the gap day.
In AAPL on October 19, 2009 the stock spiked at the open. It ended the day closing lower but the following day it again increased at the open. The stock ended on the second day at pike high. The third day the stock was neutral and then declined on the fourth day. The decline was pretty dramatic, over $10 drop in a week. Again it looks like a lot of shorts getting squeeze on the second day after the upward gap. What is interesting to note is that Oct. 19 was a Wednesday and option expiration was on the 21st. 21st was actually a neutral day for AAPL, it ended without gaining much.
As I write this post BIDU is at a 52 week high which is dangerous for people who are shorting. The main reason is because when a stock has past its previous highs there are very few traders that can preciously judge how far higher the stock can go. (Trying to pick the top is very difficult.) Furthermore traders who have been shorting the stock at its former high may begin unloading their position to avoid heavy losses. For the past two days a similar pattern has occur in BIDU as in AAPL. The first day BIDU opened with a huge gap on Wednesday of options expiration week. The stock price ended lower than where it gaped at the open. However a continuation upward trend continued on the second day. Presently the stock is up 5%+ at about $463 and change. Over 80 points swing in two days, impressive.Due to such an impressive run I do not plan to play any Jan10 options. The stock just has to much of a upward momentum. To be safer I am concentrating on deep in the money put options with Feb10 expiration. If chart pattern in BIDU is similar to AAPL than I expect BIDU to consolidate downward in the week to follow. Will check back on this prediction.
Monday, January 11, 2010
Big down day for me....
I should had left my GLD straddle position last Friday but did not. Today gold prices increased in dramatic fashion and I took a major hit. At the close of my Jan10 107 straddle I lost $275.5 including commissions. Talk about not surpassing my stop losses for the month. A major blow, indeed.
I am unable to time the market right presently. The internal market conditions are bullish but stocks that I am in are getting whacked. One note to add today is YGE shooting over $18.00 as shown in graph below. Thank god I did not stick around to see the pop up. That would have tacked on at least another $100 loss if I had stayed in my sold puts.
Another example that trend is your friend when you follow it. Clearly my losses were directly on the opposite side of trends. For now I am long financial stocks due to last week's up trend and will be picking at specific institutions. I am not going against the trend....
I am unable to time the market right presently. The internal market conditions are bullish but stocks that I am in are getting whacked. One note to add today is YGE shooting over $18.00 as shown in graph below. Thank god I did not stick around to see the pop up. That would have tacked on at least another $100 loss if I had stayed in my sold puts.
Another example that trend is your friend when you follow it. Clearly my losses were directly on the opposite side of trends. For now I am long financial stocks due to last week's up trend and will be picking at specific institutions. I am not going against the trend....
Friday, January 8, 2010
First losses of 2010
For the total loss in trade including commission, $176. I had purchased 5 veritcal Jan10 puts @ 17.5/19 at $0.90 each but the stock did not decline enough for me to profit on. I held the options for a couple of days anticipating on a further downward decline after significant gains. Instead today was the day where it shot up slightly over 1% in a matter of minutes. YGE held strong at the $17.85 and went up on strong volume. As shown in the white diagonal line in the volume section below.
It was clear to me yesterday the trade was a big mistake but I held it overnight because of two reasons. Sentiment for the broader market was neutral to bearish and the five day moving average for YGE was flat. I knew I was making a gamble, all choices in life are gambles in my opinion because as long as there is a probability between winning and losing it is gambling, and anticipated on a breakdown today. YGE at first looked weak but the broader market shot up in a matter of moments, especially the Nasdaq. Then YGE gained momentum and it was difficult for me to get out of the trade due probably to the small market cap of the stock. I lost about 39% of my total trade investment.
Next time I will probably watch for moving averages to actually decline before I go bearish. Furthermore I should purchase less option spreads on small cap stocks due to lack of liquidity.
Clearly the market is on a neutral to upward trend right now so any bearishness I have to stocks should be at a minimum.
Patience is key and I remember another trade blogger saying that, cash itself is a position. Rather than holding stocks and options overnight I should also hold more cash overnight to avoid big swings in the market. I have a gut felling that even if the market does not look like it will go down, but when it does it will be a downward cliff. Why? The trade volume for the past week is lighter than usual so bulls do not have conviction in the upward push. Yet, "price is the only thing that matters."- Brian Shannon of Alphatrends.net
I have an aspiration to not loss over $3000 this year, therefore each month not to go over $250. I know its highly impossible and I should not have such an aggressive stance on losses. However with this restriction I force myself psychologically to think twice before I make a trade. In essence scrutinize my trades a lot more than usual in order to give myself better odds in profiting.
I am also in another losing position presently, a sale of a GLD Jan10 straddle 107 and the position presently has a $35 loss including commissions. I plan to buy it back without a lost but will have to wait. Good for me is that the five day moving average has finally turned downward on GLD. Will update on this position.
It was clear to me yesterday the trade was a big mistake but I held it overnight because of two reasons. Sentiment for the broader market was neutral to bearish and the five day moving average for YGE was flat. I knew I was making a gamble, all choices in life are gambles in my opinion because as long as there is a probability between winning and losing it is gambling, and anticipated on a breakdown today. YGE at first looked weak but the broader market shot up in a matter of moments, especially the Nasdaq. Then YGE gained momentum and it was difficult for me to get out of the trade due probably to the small market cap of the stock. I lost about 39% of my total trade investment.
Next time I will probably watch for moving averages to actually decline before I go bearish. Furthermore I should purchase less option spreads on small cap stocks due to lack of liquidity.
Clearly the market is on a neutral to upward trend right now so any bearishness I have to stocks should be at a minimum.
Patience is key and I remember another trade blogger saying that, cash itself is a position. Rather than holding stocks and options overnight I should also hold more cash overnight to avoid big swings in the market. I have a gut felling that even if the market does not look like it will go down, but when it does it will be a downward cliff. Why? The trade volume for the past week is lighter than usual so bulls do not have conviction in the upward push. Yet, "price is the only thing that matters."- Brian Shannon of Alphatrends.net
I have an aspiration to not loss over $3000 this year, therefore each month not to go over $250. I know its highly impossible and I should not have such an aggressive stance on losses. However with this restriction I force myself psychologically to think twice before I make a trade. In essence scrutinize my trades a lot more than usual in order to give myself better odds in profiting.
I am also in another losing position presently, a sale of a GLD Jan10 straddle 107 and the position presently has a $35 loss including commissions. I plan to buy it back without a lost but will have to wait. Good for me is that the five day moving average has finally turned downward on GLD. Will update on this position.
Thursday, January 7, 2010
Timing it Right.... I did not...
I purchased a NDX vertical-(1875/1900) put yesterday at $12.30 and sold it today at $13.85, a little to early. As the chart above shows there was a significant drop after where I sold. Market indicators at the time had techs continue to drop, but because financial companies and airlines were going up so I felt a turn to the upside was around the corner. Indeed the market pulled up around 10:30. Yet I should have let the momentum of the trend push me out of the trade versus my own instincts. The reason is because right after I sold the spread, two minutes later it was marked around $14.80. The spread peak was around $15.50 and that was easy money I did not pick up.
On the other hand it is always better to wish I had more gains than to accept a significant lost. Right now I am getting wacked on my YGE puts spread and feel I need to close them today. Not sure yet.
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
Mistake after mistake after mistake
I was hoping to start off the new year on a winning streak and at least end the year 2010 in the positive. In any case I went long GOOG options yesterday right before Google was to have their presentation to unveil the Nexus One. A couple of hours after I executed my trade I was already up over 15% but not expecting what would happen next I kept the options as the stock tumbled.
This is not my first trade of the year but I am posting it to remind myself how fortunate I was in this trade. What happened today was GOOG stock tumbling over $15. I had Jan10 630 call options and luckily I sold all of them right at today's open, which GOOG started off up $1. I did not even have the mentality to short GOOG after I exited the trade even though I knew full well the stock was breaking supports left and right. The reason for not shorting was because I was shell shock to have escape my call trade with a profit.
The technical indicators had the stock lower however I kept the call options overnight which was a major mistake. I knew the stock was getting weak but did not anticipate on a $15+ downward day for the stock on a otherwise subdued trading ranging for the overall indexes. Next time I will make sure not to flip back and forth between going short and long on GOOG and instead stick to my original plan. My original plan was to buy Puts which I did but sold one day after for a measly gain and went long on the same day. I had studied the pattern that GOOG's upward short term trend was slowing and anticipated on a drop, just timed it way off.
On a side note around 3pm I bought a NDX vertical put anticipating on accelerated drop in the NASDAQ due to major tech stocks such as AAPL, AMZN, RIMM, IBM, INTC, & GOOG all were looking to accelerate downward. That I am making a profit on and will probably close out the position tomorrow morning to avoid any positive push Friday's unemployment numbers may bring to the market.
Taking it one day at a time because there is nothing better to do than living in the present.
This is not my first trade of the year but I am posting it to remind myself how fortunate I was in this trade. What happened today was GOOG stock tumbling over $15. I had Jan10 630 call options and luckily I sold all of them right at today's open, which GOOG started off up $1. I did not even have the mentality to short GOOG after I exited the trade even though I knew full well the stock was breaking supports left and right. The reason for not shorting was because I was shell shock to have escape my call trade with a profit.
The technical indicators had the stock lower however I kept the call options overnight which was a major mistake. I knew the stock was getting weak but did not anticipate on a $15+ downward day for the stock on a otherwise subdued trading ranging for the overall indexes. Next time I will make sure not to flip back and forth between going short and long on GOOG and instead stick to my original plan. My original plan was to buy Puts which I did but sold one day after for a measly gain and went long on the same day. I had studied the pattern that GOOG's upward short term trend was slowing and anticipated on a drop, just timed it way off.
On a side note around 3pm I bought a NDX vertical put anticipating on accelerated drop in the NASDAQ due to major tech stocks such as AAPL, AMZN, RIMM, IBM, INTC, & GOOG all were looking to accelerate downward. That I am making a profit on and will probably close out the position tomorrow morning to avoid any positive push Friday's unemployment numbers may bring to the market.
Taking it one day at a time because there is nothing better to do than living in the present.
Wednesday, December 16, 2009
Faith in the system in question?
I have been taught that when you do the right thing, good things will happen to you. Tonight Citigroup announced they have raised $17 billion through the sale of 5.4 billion common shares at $3.15. Bloomberg Link.
The global credit crisis of 2008 brought the financial industry to its knees. One resultant is that of Citigroup being assisted by federal government diluting the common share value dramatically. This was required because certain individuals of the company took the wrong side of a bet and lost big. Dramatically no one is held responsible for the company's mistakes and in turn the tax payers were shouldered for the mistakes. Any government money in the end really comes down to tax payer money.
Excluding all the money I lost investing in Citigroup over the years I am avoiding any trades with this company. Already depressed with my loss this news of hearing Citigroup diluting it's shareholders even more makes me... no words can express my anger. How on earth can they get away with this?
Oh, the government is helping them. The government's intervention in 2008 to save Citigroup priced in at $45 billion in preferred shares and assistance paying a portion of the company's $301 billion losses in investments. Reference Link. In 2009 the government owned, no tax payer owned, preferred shares were transitioned to common shares at $3.25 a piece.
Just in the recent days Bank of America accumulated $20 billion in a stock sale diluting their shareholders in order to pay back their share of the TARP money- government assistance. Citigroup and Wells Fargo not wanting to be left out decided to dilute their own shareholders too and tonight Citigroup has paid back the TARP money they owed. In doing so Citigroup as a company will avoid $38 billion in taxes to the federal government and forced shareholders, mainly tax payers, to pay back the TARP money through a common shareholder dilution.
The $3.15 per share dilution is below the investment the government paid for owning about 1/3 of the common shares before dilution. In essence tax payers got shafted in every which way possible. Reference Link.
There is no way to hide from the loses. Even if I do not invest in the market the government will just take my money and your money and waste it for the benefit of wall street. To put icing on the cake Citigroup having paid back their share of the TARP money will now be allowed to pay their employees beyond the restricted $500,000 for the year 2009. Reference Link. The employees that created the global credit crisis.
This in inhumane and it will continue indefinitely as long as the American population allows it. I want to know if someone does wrong, should they not be punished for it? I can only hope this question will be answered sooner rather than later.
The global credit crisis of 2008 brought the financial industry to its knees. One resultant is that of Citigroup being assisted by federal government diluting the common share value dramatically. This was required because certain individuals of the company took the wrong side of a bet and lost big. Dramatically no one is held responsible for the company's mistakes and in turn the tax payers were shouldered for the mistakes. Any government money in the end really comes down to tax payer money.
Excluding all the money I lost investing in Citigroup over the years I am avoiding any trades with this company. Already depressed with my loss this news of hearing Citigroup diluting it's shareholders even more makes me... no words can express my anger. How on earth can they get away with this?
Oh, the government is helping them. The government's intervention in 2008 to save Citigroup priced in at $45 billion in preferred shares and assistance paying a portion of the company's $301 billion losses in investments. Reference Link. In 2009 the government owned, no tax payer owned, preferred shares were transitioned to common shares at $3.25 a piece.
Just in the recent days Bank of America accumulated $20 billion in a stock sale diluting their shareholders in order to pay back their share of the TARP money- government assistance. Citigroup and Wells Fargo not wanting to be left out decided to dilute their own shareholders too and tonight Citigroup has paid back the TARP money they owed. In doing so Citigroup as a company will avoid $38 billion in taxes to the federal government and forced shareholders, mainly tax payers, to pay back the TARP money through a common shareholder dilution.
The $3.15 per share dilution is below the investment the government paid for owning about 1/3 of the common shares before dilution. In essence tax payers got shafted in every which way possible. Reference Link.
There is no way to hide from the loses. Even if I do not invest in the market the government will just take my money and your money and waste it for the benefit of wall street. To put icing on the cake Citigroup having paid back their share of the TARP money will now be allowed to pay their employees beyond the restricted $500,000 for the year 2009. Reference Link. The employees that created the global credit crisis.
This in inhumane and it will continue indefinitely as long as the American population allows it. I want to know if someone does wrong, should they not be punished for it? I can only hope this question will be answered sooner rather than later.
Pivotal Moment
The ETF FAS today gaped up beyond $72 and ended the day just above it as shown on graph above. Some technical indicators I use daily are pivot line- yellow line, upper and lower bollinger lines- gray curves, daily vwap- blue line, and weekly vwap- purple line. Very interesting that the daily pivot line was set at $71.48 and right around 3:20PM EST the lowest point FAS reach was $71.30. Note today was FED annnoucement which had really little effect on the finincials and even the downward momentum was paused at the pivot line. If only I had the courage to purchase the stock at about $71.50 as it pushed up against the pivot line. Dang. Maybe next time.
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
Near bottom again,,,
So I again had another horrible week in trading and lose another -$1500 and for that I have stopped trading. Not because I want to but because my account is below $500. I do not even have $400 in my trade account. Ouch. It is still hurting, but that is life. It sucks to be bad at trading.
I stumbled upon an interesting site that updates daily of President Obama's overall national approval rating. Link. It is not fairing well, but I am not surprise. Many people had high expectations for him and because he has yet to bring America out of the recession people are losing their faith in him. President Obama has fought many battles to be where he is at today, and just because after 7 months the country has yet to get better it still shouldn't be fair to doubt in his abilities. Why it took President Bush eight years in office to get America through 2008. Why in the world could one expect President Obama to rewind eight years of President Bush's terms in less than eight years? America loves performance and wants it immediately.
President Obama has been much more transparent than form President Bush. He has been in front of America weekly if not daily on all issues facing America. Just because he can not fix everything of do everything he has promised in seven months is not fair. Yet this is America and without performance I am nothing. Life is cruel and unjust to all those that stay still and watch. I hope president Obama will surpass all expectations, because I always love routing for the underdog.
I stumbled upon an interesting site that updates daily of President Obama's overall national approval rating. Link. It is not fairing well, but I am not surprise. Many people had high expectations for him and because he has yet to bring America out of the recession people are losing their faith in him. President Obama has fought many battles to be where he is at today, and just because after 7 months the country has yet to get better it still shouldn't be fair to doubt in his abilities. Why it took President Bush eight years in office to get America through 2008. Why in the world could one expect President Obama to rewind eight years of President Bush's terms in less than eight years? America loves performance and wants it immediately.
President Obama has been much more transparent than form President Bush. He has been in front of America weekly if not daily on all issues facing America. Just because he can not fix everything of do everything he has promised in seven months is not fair. Yet this is America and without performance I am nothing. Life is cruel and unjust to all those that stay still and watch. I hope president Obama will surpass all expectations, because I always love routing for the underdog.
Thursday, July 16, 2009
Trend Failure....
First off my apologies for the poor picture. I think it has something to do with my computer's screen resolution, which I will try to resolve before future posts.
What a devastating week for me. It can not get worst. The chart above illustrates that even if a trend is identified the market can still go the other way. Case in point. On Monday July 13, 09 I sold iron condors at 915/920calls & 825/830puts for about $0.60 excluding commissions. (I have been selling calls since march and been profiting from 10% to 35% weekly, however I was putting in 90% to 100% of my capital to achieve such profits. I consider this trading style being very aggressive and just down right crazy. Yet I give it my all to reading charts daily in knowing fully what odds I have of failing.) Anticipating on a bigger fall and wanting out of the money options expire worthless I went with the lower puts. Boy was that a huge mistake. The end result today is that the SPX ended above 915 therefore I lose all my capital in the trade. I did not do the exact calculation, but from the amount of options I traded the total loss comes close to $-34,120 not my biggest one sum lost experienced but largest of this year. I am worst of than I started at the beginning of the year. I will log in my mistakes in hopes others and myself can learn from them.
What happened?
Over the previous weekend I had the SPX chart reviewed upon the monthly, weekly, and daily trends. All trends expected a downward for the coming week. There was a head and shoulder pattern as shown on the chart below:
Not anticipating a significant up movement for the week I had the Fibonacci retracement line around $878.91 to $927.28. Anticipating the head and shoulder pattern would result in a right shoulder I went and shorted $915 calls. The 23.6% retracement was right around that value and not think the start of 2nd quarter earning season could be this optimistic the SPX shot upward for the next four days. The market as of 3:45pm EST of 07-16-09 has the SPX stand at 943.08! In less than four sessions the SPX index moved up 64+ points or +7.2%. (Note to self earning season is dangerous for indexes to swing up or down. Very dangerous.)
Mistakes:
1) The risk I put myself to gain 10% was not worth it. Understand if I had the patience and waited out this week I may have executed a lot better trades. I need to build patience, because sometimes the best trades are the ones I never make. This one should have been one.
2) I never done an iron condor trade until now, so this is my first trading the option spread and not knowing full well of its power I got slaughtered. Hey at least I am still breathing and alive. Yet barely. In any case I should have practice the spread before I went in it for real. Now that I have played it I will always remember this trade.
3) Following trends is good when it comes to trading but never put all your eggs in one basket. Again the risk to reward ratio was horrible in the method I choose to trade. Yet I should have know it wasn't a good week to sell calls. Earning season can be so unpredictable. Then again the market is always unpredictable.
4) I could not cope with this lose and stayed home isolating myself. If I had known how much I really could lose in this trade I would not have made the trade. Odds were in my favor at the beginning of the week, but it wasn't when it counted the most. I should not let this get to me, but learn from it. Yet a lot of money just gone out of my account again. I simply can not win. This type of mentality has destroyed my mind & body, and has created so many distractions. I clearly need to get my mind straight before I play again. Its just too much.
Sunday, July 12, 2009
Looking forward to the Futures....
I am eating dinner as of 1:05am. Yes eating spaghetti with tostitos sauce while I type this post. I will try to make the story short. I was planning to eat chips with the tostitos sauce for dinner, but found the top portion of the jar growing white molds. As usual I disposal as much of the white mold sauce. I took what was left and heated it in a stove pot and mixed it with cooked spaghetti. There dinner served.
Now I will go back to trading. The title of this post was written like so on purpose. I just signed up for trading futures on TOS. I hope I can make a foturnate now, lol. I just better make sure not to lose my shirt. For over a month I have researched as much as I could on trading futures. One of my favorite blogs on trading futures is "eminiaddict". He truely is trying to help people out. All his service does not require a single fee. Heck he doesn't even have a donate link on his blog. Although I think he should make one. He is one and a million of wonderful traders willing to help beginners. Hopefully I can follow in his footsteps with this blog.
So the most popular future out there right now is this future contract called ES Mini. ES Mini is a future contract created by CME, (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) and the future corresponds to the S&P 500 Index. So the ES Mini is another way to trade indices. What makes the ES Mini so interesting to me is that it can be traded almost 24 hours a day from Monday through Friday! Any news that gets posted overnight during a weekday US stock closed session may still effect the ES Mini.
This is one step closer to a global market. To top it all off today I just learned that people in America can actually trade in Japan's Nikki 225 futures too. The ticker symbol is "NKD". I do not know much outside of the S&P, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones, but it could get interesting because now I am planning on trading before I go to bed. Man so excited I can not wait.
With all this excitement I know I am going to make stupid trades. So rather then playing for real I plan on using a TOS paper money account first. Get my feet wet with these so call futures contracts. There are quite a few out there. There are the ones following the Nasdaq- /NQ E-mini, Dow Jones- /YM E-mini, and plenty more from CME. (Check future contracts from CME.) I have noticed the /ES futures are the most traded contracts out of all futures by far so with signifcant amount of liquidty is in the /ES would mean it is easier to get in and out of trades.
Now I will go back to trading. The title of this post was written like so on purpose. I just signed up for trading futures on TOS. I hope I can make a foturnate now, lol. I just better make sure not to lose my shirt. For over a month I have researched as much as I could on trading futures. One of my favorite blogs on trading futures is "eminiaddict". He truely is trying to help people out. All his service does not require a single fee. Heck he doesn't even have a donate link on his blog. Although I think he should make one. He is one and a million of wonderful traders willing to help beginners. Hopefully I can follow in his footsteps with this blog.
So the most popular future out there right now is this future contract called ES Mini. ES Mini is a future contract created by CME, (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) and the future corresponds to the S&P 500 Index. So the ES Mini is another way to trade indices. What makes the ES Mini so interesting to me is that it can be traded almost 24 hours a day from Monday through Friday! Any news that gets posted overnight during a weekday US stock closed session may still effect the ES Mini.
This is one step closer to a global market. To top it all off today I just learned that people in America can actually trade in Japan's Nikki 225 futures too. The ticker symbol is "NKD". I do not know much outside of the S&P, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones, but it could get interesting because now I am planning on trading before I go to bed. Man so excited I can not wait.
With all this excitement I know I am going to make stupid trades. So rather then playing for real I plan on using a TOS paper money account first. Get my feet wet with these so call futures contracts. There are quite a few out there. There are the ones following the Nasdaq- /NQ E-mini, Dow Jones- /YM E-mini, and plenty more from CME. (Check future contracts from CME.) I have noticed the /ES futures are the most traded contracts out of all futures by far so with signifcant amount of liquidty is in the /ES would mean it is easier to get in and out of trades.
Thursday, July 9, 2009
Finally Results!
After all that procrastination I have my 2009 performance on Excel. It includes all commission deductions, wash sales, and expired options. What it does not include is the reduction of profit after taxes. (Technically I am still in the red so no taxes on loses yet.) I know I am still in the red but since April I have been hooked to a particular option spread that has brought me consistent gains. More on that in a later post. Now just look below to see how I have fared so far this year.
I began trading options around Nov '08 and haven't returned to trading actual stock shares ever since. Although I love options I have also had my worst ever losses with them. The main reason for the loses was my inability to factor in time decay. Me as a beginner thought naively that if I purchased an option worth $0.10 and sell it at a $1.00 I would make a 1000% profit. What I did not consider was the amount of time I had in order for the option premium to reach $1.00 before expiration. There lies my misunderstanding for option trades. When you pay to purchase an option and it expires out of the money, you get zip-poo in return. Nothing. Zero. Nada. A big fat O. So I did that for about the first five months of my option trading experience and racked in an amazing loss of over $30k. (How stupid is that? Probably ranks in the top 10 of all stupid things I did in my lifetime to date.) The chart above only covers year '09 but I had some terrible option trades in '08 too. The chart of my overall performance including 2008, the year I started trading is important to me. Important to me in many ways such as learning not to repeat the same mistakes and the fact that even if I hit any significant profit for 2009 it would still be overshadowed by the losses of '08. Hence I still have work to put together my overall lifetime performance results. That will be for another post.
I began trading options around Nov '08 and haven't returned to trading actual stock shares ever since. Although I love options I have also had my worst ever losses with them. The main reason for the loses was my inability to factor in time decay. Me as a beginner thought naively that if I purchased an option worth $0.10 and sell it at a $1.00 I would make a 1000% profit. What I did not consider was the amount of time I had in order for the option premium to reach $1.00 before expiration. There lies my misunderstanding for option trades. When you pay to purchase an option and it expires out of the money, you get zip-poo in return. Nothing. Zero. Nada. A big fat O. So I did that for about the first five months of my option trading experience and racked in an amazing loss of over $30k. (How stupid is that? Probably ranks in the top 10 of all stupid things I did in my lifetime to date.) The chart above only covers year '09 but I had some terrible option trades in '08 too. The chart of my overall performance including 2008, the year I started trading is important to me. Important to me in many ways such as learning not to repeat the same mistakes and the fact that even if I hit any significant profit for 2009 it would still be overshadowed by the losses of '08. Hence I still have work to put together my overall lifetime performance results. That will be for another post.
Tuesday, July 7, 2009
Equilibrium
Today I read a little about the G-8 summit and came up with a hypothesis for the future of United State's economy. So the G-8 consists of:
Canada,
France,
Germany,
Italy,
Japan,
Russia,
United Kingdom,
United States,
All members were concerned about further deterioration in the global economy. Furthermore the IMF recently predicted a darker outlook on the world economy than previous estimates. Yet one can also read that all these countries are concerned about the emerging market. Why?
Emerging markets such as China, India, and Brazil are becoming bigger players in how the global economy operates. This was not the case when the G8 group was formed. This leads me to believe that the G8 is losing their grip on global wealth to the emerging market. To look good G8 discloses its willingness to work with the emerging markets to subdue a downward global economy, but in reality they are asking for help because they are drowning in debt. Also they are asking China and India to slowdown on industrialization for the sake of environmental welfare. Yeah right, like America would slowdown during their industrialization. Climate is only an excuse for trying to stop what can not be stopped.
In short America and the rest of G8 will soon have to acknowledge China, India and other emerging markets as full members of the so call "G8." (Not some lame term such as "Outreach O5.") Of course there is the G20 but when the day G8 is dismantled that is the day when its existing members have to accept the economy is truly globalized and all should have an equal say as in how the global economy should operate. Therefore America can no longer have the most and spend the most because the share of wealth is expanding from a domestic population to a global population. That does not mean America can not be prosperous, or does it? Too many variables to consider and it is driving me crazy.
P.S.- My first comment from Chris is about the VXV chart from TOS being incorrect. I acknowledge that VXV does not work on TOS but if you put in VXV.X it is the 3 month CBOE volatility. Just to verify like you asked I went to CBOE's website and downloaded the .csv file on closing prices on the VXV and today 07-07-09 it closed at 32.09 identical to the value read off of TOS. Thanks for the comment though, greatly appericate it.
Canada,
France,
Germany,
Italy,
Japan,
Russia,
United Kingdom,
United States,
All members were concerned about further deterioration in the global economy. Furthermore the IMF recently predicted a darker outlook on the world economy than previous estimates. Yet one can also read that all these countries are concerned about the emerging market. Why?
Emerging markets such as China, India, and Brazil are becoming bigger players in how the global economy operates. This was not the case when the G8 group was formed. This leads me to believe that the G8 is losing their grip on global wealth to the emerging market. To look good G8 discloses its willingness to work with the emerging markets to subdue a downward global economy, but in reality they are asking for help because they are drowning in debt. Also they are asking China and India to slowdown on industrialization for the sake of environmental welfare. Yeah right, like America would slowdown during their industrialization. Climate is only an excuse for trying to stop what can not be stopped.
In short America and the rest of G8 will soon have to acknowledge China, India and other emerging markets as full members of the so call "G8." (Not some lame term such as "Outreach O5.") Of course there is the G20 but when the day G8 is dismantled that is the day when its existing members have to accept the economy is truly globalized and all should have an equal say as in how the global economy should operate. Therefore America can no longer have the most and spend the most because the share of wealth is expanding from a domestic population to a global population. That does not mean America can not be prosperous, or does it? Too many variables to consider and it is driving me crazy.
P.S.- My first comment from Chris is about the VXV chart from TOS being incorrect. I acknowledge that VXV does not work on TOS but if you put in VXV.X it is the 3 month CBOE volatility. Just to verify like you asked I went to CBOE's website and downloaded the .csv file on closing prices on the VXV and today 07-07-09 it closed at 32.09 identical to the value read off of TOS. Thanks for the comment though, greatly appericate it.
Sunday, July 5, 2009
Playing with Volatility ?
After reading an Article by Bill Luby about the VIX I decided to look into it deeper. The link to his article: "Take a Longer View on Volatility" Basically I wanted to see if the 10% difference between the 1month CBOE S&P500 volatility and the 3month COBE S&P 500 volatilty will produce a change in the direction of a trend.
The graph above has the green/red line representing the VIX while the blue line representing the VXV. I used 20 days data on an hourly chart. Notice on the closing of June 19, 09 the two lines % difference was significant. The one month volatility subsided that day versus the three month volatility. So what news could have reduce the one month volatility?
Not technically news but the market was set for a Quadruple Witching Day. Simply options were going to expire on that particular day and one would expect a lot of volatility on expiration dates, huh? This goes in line with Bill's theory that the VXV can not be affected as much on a daily event as the VIX. Clearly the volatility was still above thirty for the VXV and oddly enough the following trading day the VIX went beyond the thirty value. Just to add the following Monday the DOW dropped 200 points.
I added a Fibonacci line of retracement and for the following Monday, July 05, 09 the VIX seems posed to move up pass the 50% and 38.2% retracements. So what will this mean for the DOW? Well on Wednesday the VIX hit a bottom while the VXV hit 61.6% retracement. Then without warning the both indexes shot up. Each index gaining about 2 points, thats pretty signficant on a daily move. That day the DOW went up about 50 points. The following day the DOW dropped over 223 points, and the increase in volitilty indexes continued to race upward. My feelings are if the gap between the VIX and VXV are wider the more triple digits movement we will get from the DOW. Whether it will be up or down depends on a lot of factors, but reading through these charts I believe this coming week the market is pose for battle between the bulls and bears. (I know, I know a lot of people have been saying that, but I just got one more evidence as to this being true.) If the upside can not be sustained then we will continue with the downward trend for the past three weeks. Remember trend is your friend.
The graph above has the green/red line representing the VIX while the blue line representing the VXV. I used 20 days data on an hourly chart. Notice on the closing of June 19, 09 the two lines % difference was significant. The one month volatility subsided that day versus the three month volatility. So what news could have reduce the one month volatility?Not technically news but the market was set for a Quadruple Witching Day. Simply options were going to expire on that particular day and one would expect a lot of volatility on expiration dates, huh? This goes in line with Bill's theory that the VXV can not be affected as much on a daily event as the VIX. Clearly the volatility was still above thirty for the VXV and oddly enough the following trading day the VIX went beyond the thirty value. Just to add the following Monday the DOW dropped 200 points.
I added a Fibonacci line of retracement and for the following Monday, July 05, 09 the VIX seems posed to move up pass the 50% and 38.2% retracements. So what will this mean for the DOW? Well on Wednesday the VIX hit a bottom while the VXV hit 61.6% retracement. Then without warning the both indexes shot up. Each index gaining about 2 points, thats pretty signficant on a daily move. That day the DOW went up about 50 points. The following day the DOW dropped over 223 points, and the increase in volitilty indexes continued to race upward. My feelings are if the gap between the VIX and VXV are wider the more triple digits movement we will get from the DOW. Whether it will be up or down depends on a lot of factors, but reading through these charts I believe this coming week the market is pose for battle between the bulls and bears. (I know, I know a lot of people have been saying that, but I just got one more evidence as to this being true.) If the upside can not be sustained then we will continue with the downward trend for the past three weeks. Remember trend is your friend.
Saturday, July 4, 2009
4th of July
Happy 4th of July to everyone.
I am happy with my results for the week. I could not sleep the night before the unemployment numbers were to be posted. Unfortunately the data did not fair too well and the market crumbled. With a short week for the markets I do not know if this coming Monday the market will go up or down. Odds are in favor of a bearish move, but the drop was so significant relative to weekly moves since March '09 lows I feel there could be a bounce from here.
In either case it is just my opinion and the market does not care about my opinions. On another note I have finally got into the green for the year, but after compute my 2009 federal taxes to date I fear the worst. my trades created a lot of taxes that I am required to pay and that reduces my profit down to a red number again. This leads me to the all so important progress chart.
I had promised to post my stock progress on this blog, but procrastination is my best trait so I have yet to done so. I decided to make it through Excel and post the data as a weekly line graph. There are a few factors I will incorporate into the chart that I have not seen other blog traders do. That is I will also post my entire life's trading results, and my profits after federal and state taxes. That way all these factors will help me get my yearly tax returns done promptly and give readers a different perspective about gains and losses. The data is in the works as I type this post and hopefully I can get it done before the end of next week.
I am happy with my results for the week. I could not sleep the night before the unemployment numbers were to be posted. Unfortunately the data did not fair too well and the market crumbled. With a short week for the markets I do not know if this coming Monday the market will go up or down. Odds are in favor of a bearish move, but the drop was so significant relative to weekly moves since March '09 lows I feel there could be a bounce from here.
In either case it is just my opinion and the market does not care about my opinions. On another note I have finally got into the green for the year, but after compute my 2009 federal taxes to date I fear the worst. my trades created a lot of taxes that I am required to pay and that reduces my profit down to a red number again. This leads me to the all so important progress chart.
I had promised to post my stock progress on this blog, but procrastination is my best trait so I have yet to done so. I decided to make it through Excel and post the data as a weekly line graph. There are a few factors I will incorporate into the chart that I have not seen other blog traders do. That is I will also post my entire life's trading results, and my profits after federal and state taxes. That way all these factors will help me get my yearly tax returns done promptly and give readers a different perspective about gains and losses. The data is in the works as I type this post and hopefully I can get it done before the end of next week.
Tuesday, June 23, 2009
6-23-09 End of the Day Update
First off I have decided not to produce an excel spreadsheet of my trades for 2009. Too much work. Yet I will somehow present my results graphically maybe with a line graph. Although I am still in the negative for the year I am slowly chipping away at the red. Patiently I am awaiting to get on the green side very soon and stay there for the rest of my life, lol.
Anyways nothing much happened today in the market. Not really surprising after the housing data was released. The news just was not enough to provide green shoot followers to have any momentum to push stocks higher today. Below is a graph of the daily chart of SPY.
Right after the housing data at 10am the SPY tumble below its daily vwap-pink line, which to me indicates a weakening in equities. However right around 888 SPY found support and pulled onto the vwap. The rest of the day the market try going higher but every time it failed and hit the vwap line. The SPY never gained any type of momentum to the upside even after yesterday's significant losses. This leads me to believe traders are uncertain about the market. With uncertainty comes lack of optimism and that makes the market sell off.
Tomorrow will be interesting to see if stocks can end positive. FOMC will post their results of their meeting around 2:15pm(Est). Anything can happen depending on what the FOMC says. Yet the trend seems to continue from last week which was a down week. So I would rather stay away from the market tomorrow until the FOMC results if all possible. It is too uncertain with the market being neutral today and usually any major news will result in major swings either up or down. In the long run I feel the market will go down due to the uncertainty.
Anyways nothing much happened today in the market. Not really surprising after the housing data was released. The news just was not enough to provide green shoot followers to have any momentum to push stocks higher today. Below is a graph of the daily chart of SPY.
Right after the housing data at 10am the SPY tumble below its daily vwap-pink line, which to me indicates a weakening in equities. However right around 888 SPY found support and pulled onto the vwap. The rest of the day the market try going higher but every time it failed and hit the vwap line. The SPY never gained any type of momentum to the upside even after yesterday's significant losses. This leads me to believe traders are uncertain about the market. With uncertainty comes lack of optimism and that makes the market sell off.
Tomorrow will be interesting to see if stocks can end positive. FOMC will post their results of their meeting around 2:15pm(Est). Anything can happen depending on what the FOMC says. Yet the trend seems to continue from last week which was a down week. So I would rather stay away from the market tomorrow until the FOMC results if all possible. It is too uncertain with the market being neutral today and usually any major news will result in major swings either up or down. In the long run I feel the market will go down due to the uncertainty.
Sunday, June 21, 2009
Really Not Organized...
After reading my old posts I realize how disoriented I am. The stock market sucks. Makes life difficult and confusing. I wish I did not lose so much in '08. Now I have to make significant ground. Anyways what I mean to write is to hopefully, before the end of the month post an excel spreadsheet of my progress. I clearly have failed to do that, and there is no excuse.
Now to get myself even more confused I want to document an interesting discovery for the SPX weekly options. (Take note that there options that expire on a weekly bases. CBOE- Chicago Board Options Exchange had provided certain options to expire either at the end of a Thursday or Friday of a trading week.) I love these options because I am winning. I feel I am better when I make a weekly trade then a monthly or daily. Its not to say I would not lose more or win more. It is just my preference. In any case if your curious CBOE's link about weekly options:
http://www.cboe.com/micro/weeklys/introduction.aspx
There is a subtle difference in XEO versus OEX. You can settle OEX at any time before or at the end of the OEX option expire date. XEO on the other hand can only be settled on settlement date. I only see this difference as a drawback to trading the XEO options but then again there maybe a scenerio where XEO would be better than OEX.
I babble long enough and still haven't posted my discovery on the SPX. For the week of June4 options on SPX as of Friday, June 19th's closing price the picture below are the vertical options.
Now to get myself even more confused I want to document an interesting discovery for the SPX weekly options. (Take note that there options that expire on a weekly bases. CBOE- Chicago Board Options Exchange had provided certain options to expire either at the end of a Thursday or Friday of a trading week.) I love these options because I am winning. I feel I am better when I make a weekly trade then a monthly or daily. Its not to say I would not lose more or win more. It is just my preference. In any case if your curious CBOE's link about weekly options:
http://www.cboe.com/micro/weeklys/introduction.aspx
- SPX (Settlement on a Friday Morning.)
- XSP (Mini-SPX, Settlement on a Friday Morning.)
- OEX (100 of SPX Components on a 1/10th size, Settlement on the end of a Friday trading day.)
- XEO ((European 100 of SPX Components on a 1/10th size, Settlement on the end of a Friday trading day.)
There is a subtle difference in XEO versus OEX. You can settle OEX at any time before or at the end of the OEX option expire date. XEO on the other hand can only be settled on settlement date. I only see this difference as a drawback to trading the XEO options but then again there maybe a scenerio where XEO would be better than OEX.
I babble long enough and still haven't posted my discovery on the SPX. For the week of June4 options on SPX as of Friday, June 19th's closing price the picture below are the vertical options.
Notice the 900/925 put options have a mark of $8.40 when the intrinsic value=present value is only at $3.77. There is a big volume of 144 put contracts traded versus 22 call contracts on the 900/925 spread. The put spread has over 200% difference between the instrinsic and mark value and on top of that the instrinsic value of the call spread is a little over 25%! Either someone or the market is telling us this upcoming week is a down week. I am playing on that and will trade through OEX instead because the contracts do not have such a spread between the intrinsic and present values relative to the quantity of contracts traded so far.
Saturday, June 6, 2009
Is this True Prosperity?
Every Chinese New Years there is the traditional ritual of married adults handing out red envelopes to friends' and relatives' children. Though today I am adult I still receive red envelopes because I am not married. (I do not know why Chinese people have this ritual, but if I have to make an educated guess it would be to share one's prosperity to the people they care for the most.) Take note if you are not Asian or never received a red envelope that usually there is money in them.
Out of random last week I started looking over into all the red envelopes I received through the years. Each year my pile of red envelopes grows with the very recent ones at the top of the pile. (I do not put the money into a bank even though I lose out from inflation. I consider the money to be special. Although that does not mean I don't spend it, lol.) Anyways what I found astonishing maybe a rare occurrence but it is something to take note of.
My envelopes at the top were mostly five dollars while the ones at the bottom were twenties and tens. If I have to guess I started this collection about 8 to 10 years ago and all the people that usually gives me red envelopes did so every year. I found it very interesting that I get less dollars each year even though the United States has a yearly average of 3% inflation. It seems to me my relatives and close friends are getting poor or being cheap. In my pessimistic opinion they are worst off today than 10 years ago.
To not just be a one sided opinion I can list some reasons why I receive less money each year:
1) I work full time so adults consider me capable of making lots of money therefore I do not deserve more from them.
2) Over the years my extend family has grown. Cousins have gotten married and started their own families. Therefore a lot more children to spread the amount of wealth.
3) This ritual of passing out red envelopes has gotten a little old for the givers and they do not consider it as important as it was when they were younger. I can give an example. Usually a 20 something guy would got out to bars to socialize. He probably would spend whatever little amount of money he has on beers and games. When the same guy is in his late 30s or early 40s his priorities has changed. He probably has most of his money paying down a mortgage and/or debt. Priorities with givers has also changed. They are getting old therefore they need to save more to ensure they are well off when they retire.
To come full circle I am writing this excerpt because I feel people today are living on less than 10 years ago. The gap between rich and poor has expanded. What I have here is one more example.
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